Tuesday, December 16, 2003

Everett Ehrlich examines the future of American presidential politics in this Washington Post article. He thinks that "in the next six or eight presidential elections, a third-party candidate will win the presidency," because new technology will allow candidates to win elections without the traditional parties. In the current campaign, he sees Howard Dean as "essentially a third-party candidate using modern technology to achieve a takeover of the Democratic Party. Other candidates -- John Kerry, John Edwards, Wesley Clark -- are competing to take control of the party's fundraising, organizational and media operations. But Dean is not interested in taking control of those depreciating assets. He is creating his own party, his own lists, his own money, his own organization. What he wants are the Democratic brand name and legacy, the party's last remaining assets of value, as part of his marketing strategy."